저탄소 경로 모형을 활용한 2050년 한국의 온실가스 감축 시나리오 비교 분석

박년배, 유정화, 조미현, 윤성권, 전의찬

한국대기환경학회지 제28권 제5호, 2012.10, 556-570 (15 pages)

영어 초록

The Low Carbon Path Calculator is an excel-based model to project greenhouse gas emissions from 2009 to 2050, which is based on the 2050 Pathways Calculator developed by the UK Department of Energy and Climate Change(DECC). Scenarios are developed to reduce GHG emissions in Korea at 50% based on 2005 levels by 2050 using a Low Carbon Path Calculator. They were classified in four different cases, which are high renewable, high nuclear, high CCS and mixed option scenarios. The objectives of this study are to compare scenarios in terms of GHG emissions, final energy, primary energy and electricity generation and examine the usefulness of that model in terms of identifying pathways towards a low carbon emission society. This model will enhance the understanding of the pathways toward a low carbon society and the level of the climate change policy for policy makers, stakeholders, and the public. This study can be considered as a reference for developing strategies in reducing GHG emissions in the long term.

URL : http://www.dbpia.co.kr/Article/2991243

참고로, 한국형 온실가스 배출경로 엑셀계산기 버전 1.0을 이용하여 분석하였음